What does Brexit mean for young Irish?

It’s been almost a year since the United Kingdom voted narrowly in favour of leaving the European Union. That decision will have an impact on everyone’s lives and may shape the lives of young Irish people.

The formal two year period of negotiations started on 29 March 2017 when Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty was triggered. Without an extension agreed by all member states, the UK will leave on 30 March 2019 - reports campus.ie.

Preliminary negotiations between the EU and UK are scheduled to begin on 19 June. The timeframe is incredibly tight. The final agreement needs to be approved by the 27 EU states and the European parliament within this time period. These complex talks will cover a diverse range of topics including security, trade, pet passports, air traffic controls and scientific research.

Much about Brexit remains very unclear. The UK has revealed few details about its priorities though immigration and trade are likely to be key concerns.

The aims of the EU are clearer. It wants to protect its own interests and those of the remaining 27 member states. While it has reason to take a tough stance to minimise future withdrawals from the union, the EU has adopted rules around transparency and public access to encourage public scrutiny. Its negotiating priorities are the status of EU citizens living in the UK, the financial settlement of the UK’s existing obligations and Ireland.

The Irish government has also outlined its separate priorities. In May, it published its own approach to the Brexit negotiations. The 70 page document outlined priorities which include “minimising the impact on trade and the economy, protecting the Northern Ireland peace process [and] maintaining the Common Travel Area (CTA).” Ireland- along with the other 26 remaining member states- will be represented during the negotiations by the EU.

What does Brexit mean for Ireland?

In terms of the economy, the potential for damage is enormous. Agriculture and tourism are two areas likely to be hit hard. For the first three months of 2017, Irish imports to the UK were worth over three billion euro, according to CSO figures. Currency fluctuations and inflation within the UK could also hit the value of Irish imports and exports. Uncertainty causes further problems, as decisions are delayed until there is more concrete information.

After Brexit, Ireland will have the EU’s only land border with the UK. As an international frontier, this may mean re-imposing some type of custom and border controls. The Irish government would prefer to maintain the invisible border that many have become used to. Most young Irish people have no experience of a check point when travelling to Northern Ireland. However, it’s unclear how this might work. This also raises concerns about Northern Ireland and the sustainability of the Good Friday Agreement after Brexit.

What are the likely outcomes?

There’s several possible scenarios. The UK could withdraw from all EU treaties. A hard Brexit of this type could be very damaging for Ireland. Tariffs would be imposed on imports and exports. There would also be custom checks and controls between Ireland and Northern Ireland.

In the second scenario, the UK would leave the EU but remain part of the single market similar to Norway. From an Irish perspective, a soft Brexit is probably the best case scenario.

The third possibility is the ‘cliff edge’. If agreement isn’t reached by March 2019 and no transition arrangements are put in place, the World Trade Organisation rules would apply. This would see the imposition of higher tariffs and custom checks that restrict market access. This is a worst case scenario from the Irish perspective.

At this stage, no one knows exactly how Brexit will turn out. Any option will bring some degree of pain for Ireland. In May, the IMF warned that the medium term effects of Brexit on the country are likely to be “negative and significant”.

However, Brexit could also be an opportunity for Ireland. Some see as a chance to redefine the country by investing in infrastructure, education and other services to re-invigorate communities.

For businesses, Brexit might be a catalyst to look at markets beyond the UK. For example, Enterprise Ireland is helping small and medium sized businesses to diversify into European markets as a means of reducing the disruption from Brexit.

Many young Irish people travel to the UK to live, work and study. If you’ve recently graduated and are planning to move, nothing’s changed yet. But, the situation may be different for those who graduate in the coming years.

March 2019 may seem a long way off. Unfortunately, it’s not. To borrow a cliché, Ireland has to hope for the best while preparing for the worst.

Read other news on the city site of Dublin

campus.ie
Brexit Irish Ierland
If you notice an error, highlight the text you want and press Ctrl + Enter to report it to the editor
1 view in september
I recommend
No recommendations yet

Comments

Comments are designed to communicate and discuss the features of an enterprise or event, as well as to find out the interesting questions on it.

Society
A number of Ulster Bank customers are currently being impacted by an issue with the bank’s Anytime and Mobile Banking services. In a statement Ulster Bank said that it was aware that there are some issues on its Anytime and Mobile Banking services, and that it is working to fix them. The bank advised customers that its telephone banking and ATM services have not been impacted by the problem. "We are aware that customers are currently experiencing issues lo...
Society
TWO national school teachers and an accountant have been spared jail for their part in a violent brawl in a well-known Dublin pub. Teachers Michael Davitt and Seamus O Cearra, as well as accountant Conor Shannon all walked free from court today after admitting violent disorder charges in the 10-man melee. A fourth accused, warehouse manager and soccer team captain Stephen Cantwell also avoided a prison sentence while a fifth, electrician David McSweeney wa...
Incidents
Two people have been hospitalised with serious injuries and a man arrested on suspicion of drink-driving following a collision in Co Wexford. The two-car crash happened at The Leap in Clonroche at around 8.30pm yesterday evening. A man and woman, both in their 50s, were taken by ambulance to Wexford General Hospital. The driver of the second car, a man in his 50s, was arrested at the scene on suspicion of drink-driving. He has since been released from cust...
Society
Long-standing plans to deliver hundreds of new homes on the site of the former Player Wills cigarette factory on Dublin's South Circular Road have come up against yet another obstacle. Documents lodged in the High Court showed the site's Nama-appointed receivers, Paul McCann and Stephen Tennant of Grant Thornton, are locked in legal proceedings in an effort to remove a company operating a salvage business from the site. The case relating to the tenancy rig...
Society
Health Minister Simon Harris has been told his decision on whether to grant access to a revolutionary new drug for children with a rare degenerative condition is one of life or death. Families, friends, supporters and sufferers of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) gathered outside the Dail yesterday to call for access to the drug Spinraza. The only drug ever manufactured to treat SMA, a degenerative neuromuscular disorder, it is licensed, available and changin...
Society
Storm damage at the ploughing championships has forced organisers to cancel the second day of the event. More than 100,000 people had been scheduled to attend Ireland's largest annual outdoor event outside Tullamore, Co Offaly. However, two delayed openings were not enough to save the National Ploughing Association (NPA) event, after tents were badly damaged by the gusting winds. NPA assistant managing director Anna Marie McHugh said the organisers will no...
Society
A dream holiday to Ireland turned to tragedy for a tourist who died after her caravan was blown into the sea as Storm Ali battered the country. The woman, named locally as Elvira Ferraii from Switzerland, had arrived in the Clifden area of Galway the day before the tragic incident. She rented a caravan and was staying at the Clifden Eco Beach camping and caravan site in the Claddaghduff area, along the Atlantic coastline. At around 7.45am yesterday the car...
Society
Teachers Michael Davitt and Seamus O Cearra and accountant Conor Shannon all walked free from court yesterday after admitting violent disorder charges over the 10-man melee. A fourth accused, warehouse manager Stephen Cantwell, also avoided a prison term while a fifth, electrician David McSweeney, was jailed for six months. Passing sentence, Judge Brian O'Shea said the teachers were "ambassadors for their schools" whenever they went out and they had "let t...
Society
ESB Networks says 39,000 homes, farms and businesses are still without power this morning after StormAli crossed the country yesterday. Repair crews workedthrough the night, but 1,600 individual faults remain on the network. It says it hopes to restore power to everyone affected today. ESB Networks Operations Manager Derek Hynes said most repairs are in the Cavan/Longford, Monaghan and Mayo areas. He saidcrews need to get to 1,600 locations today andwarned...